AFCON 2025. Tunisia vs Uganda: prediction

Tunisia will launch their 2025 Africa Cup of Nations campaign on Tuesday with a Group-stage clash against Uganda at the Stade Olympique Annexe Complexe Sportif Prince Abdellah, a fixture that pits pedigree against ambition as both sides seek an early foothold in the tournament.

Brief

The Carthage Eagles arrive in Morocco carrying the weight of expectation. AFCON champions only once, in 2004 on home soil, Tunisia are eager to recapture continental glory more than two decades on. While their Africa Cup of Nations qualifying journey was unusually uneven, finishing second in their group behind Comoros, recent results paint a far more reassuring picture for the North Africans.

Indeed, Tunisia’s run in World Cup qualification was emphatic. Nine wins and a single draw from ten matches underlined their consistency, discipline and growing cohesion, offering a stark reminder of why they are routinely counted among Africa’s heavyweights. That form has fuelled optimism among supporters that this generation can mount a serious title challenge.

Obua predicts narrow Tunisia win as Uganda brace for tough AFCON opener

Uganda, however, will not arrive as mere spectators. The Cranes step onto the AFCON stage buoyed by a respectable run of results, having registered four wins in their last six outings. Yet, despite the encouraging numbers, their build-up to the tournament has been far from seamless, with preparations disrupted and questions lingering over readiness at the highest level.

Historically, Uganda’s AFCON story has been a modest one. Their finest moment remains the 1978 tournament, where they surged to the final before falling 2-0 to Ghana. Since then, deep runs have proved elusive, and the Cranes now face the challenge of translating promise into tangible progress against elite opposition.

Prediction

On paper, Tunisia hold a clear edge. Their tactical maturity, tournament know-how and recent form make them firm favourites to collect maximum points. Uganda’s resilience may test them in spells, but sustaining that resistance over 90 minutes will be a demanding task.

Given the balance of strengths, a controlled but decisive Tunisian victory appears the most likely outcome, with a 2-1 scoreline the projected result.

Tip: Home Win (1) – 1.72 on 1xbet.

Or Over 1.5 – 1.31 on 1xbet.

Our first #TotalEnergiesAFCON2025 match is one sleep away ⏳

Tunisia vs Uganda pic.twitter.com/Df2iwHZJZN

— Uganda Cranes (@UgandaCranes) December 22, 2025

Players to watch

Seifeddine Jaziri (Tunisia): A natural finisher with intelligent movement, Seifeddine Jaziri thrives on half-chances and could punish any lapse in Uganda’s defensive concentration.

Naïm Sliti (Tunisia): Creative and unpredictable, Naïm Sliti offers incision between the lines, combining vision with an eye for goal from range.

Uche Ikpeazu (Uganda): The Cranes’ focal point in attack, Uche Ikpeazu’s strength and aerial presence make him a constant nuisance, particularly from set pieces.

AFCON 2025. Tunisia – Uganda, where to watch the match, preview

Head-to-Head

A one-sided history of meetings between the two nations have been rare, but Tunisia have dominated the rivalry.

The North Africans have won all three previous encounters, conceding just once across more than six decades.